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Setting the record straight with Gordon Guthrie Chang (章家敦)

Honesty is the first chapter in the book of wisdom.
- Thomas Jefferson

The mainland Japanese
deserve all this humiliation.
But my heart keeps aching
for the Okinawans until
it stops beating.
I still have several backlog issues to discuss with my audience before I close down my shop for good. Since I'm uncertain as to exactly when time runs out for me, I thought I should set the record straight, before anything else, with G. G. Chang, the most despicable person I've ever met in my lifetime.

All I know about Chang is that he is a total sellout. But it looks as though he is holding something back when talking about his personal background. For instance, Chang has never disclosed the year of his birth, and he seldom talks about the Vietnam War. This arouses your suspicion about what he was doing in the depth of the Vietnam quagmire. He can well be one of those war-mongering neocon hypocrites who dodged the draft themselves in their late-teens or early-20s.

But for now, I'll leave out the personal aspects of our working relationship in order to focus on the role the small-time racketeer in New Jersey has been playing as a cat's paw or mouthpiece of Washington under the guise of a political "analyst."

Hopefully in a separate post, I'll elaborate on his attempts to exploit this blogger as his irreplaceably reliable Tokyo correspondent at a bargain price. It didn't cost him any more than a retainer of a cheap Cross ballpoint pen and a plate of sushi. But for my part, his habitual lies, which have amounted to a serious breach of trust over time, caused me a costly loss of time, money and opportunity.

In May 2004 at a sushi bar in Roppongi, downtown Tokyo, Chang confided to me that he had felt an urge to write a book about the fate of his father's home country before turning 50, which he did in 2001. To tell the truth, I was favorably impressed by The Coming Collapse of China (Random House, 2001.) Not that I was convinced, or unconvinced, of his prophecy that the People's Republic of China would collapse by the year 2011. I just thought the author raised a very valid and relevant question when he boldly asked whether the world's most populous country can be considered a going concern just by virtue of its monolithic system. As I quoted Voltaire as saying, where to identify the real question is much more important than how to answer it.

In fact, though, neocons in the U.S. jumped at his answer. The emboldened Chang went on to write his second book under the title of Nuclear Showdown (Random House, 2006.) An old proverb says a fox isn't caught twice in the same snare. Even the empty-headed neocons in the U.S. could now see right through to his total inability to analyze intricate things such as international politics.

Traditionally the Japanese publishing industry doesn't give a damn about an American book which received poor reviews at home. Small wonder Soshi-sha, the publisher of the Japanese version of The Coming Collapse of China, or any other publishing company, hasn't printed a Japanese version of Nuclear Showdown.

On February 26, 2006, a staff writer of the Daily Yomiuri by the name of James Hardy gave a review to Chang's rubbish under the title of Radioactive Rhetoric. Hardy wrote: "More often than not, our own Clouseau of Counterproliferation - hey, this alliteration thing's easy - misses the point, and Nuclear Showdown is a sensationalized, contradictory, jumbled, half-baked mess of a book."

Early on, the Commentary magazine, the haunt of diehard neocons, welcomed him as a star contributor to its blog named Contentions. Now Chang learned he could add extra bucks to the fortune he had already made from The Coming Collapse of China, and Nuclear Showdown to a lesser degree, just by capitalizing on the vast intellectual vacuum prevailing in the U.S. This is the only thing the learning-disabled guy could learn as a parvenu in the American chattering classes.

Unfortunately for him, though, it didn't take long before Chang's neo-conservatism revealed itself to be a mercenarily-motivated fake. The poor wreck of the makeshift neocon was sacked by Contentions two months after the Kenyan monkey was sworn in. He wrote in his March 14, 2009 mail to me: "I'm really curious why Commentary cut my blog." But to me it was obvious he was cut simply because the unprincipled guy had now started flirting with the Obama administration.

He still desperately clings to the likes of Wall Street Journal and Forbes in order to stay in the lucrative monkey business. The only thing he has to do to that end is to constantly revise the timeline for China's demise. But basically the con man is sunk by now.

All this while, I tried very hard to build a productive working relationship with Chang from which both of us might have benefited had it not been for his inability to do so. It lasted about 5 years since mid-2003. In early 2008, I submitted a 10,000-plus-word outline of a book I wanted to publish in the U.S. to Chang's literary agent named Rosalie Siegel.

From the beginning, I had told Siegel that I hadn't established myself as a professional writer here because I had devoted my entire career to business. She assured me that shouldn't be a problem. It was only after the hag read my outline that she said there was no way for a locally unestablished writer to make inroads into the publishing industry in the U.S. I should have known before investing a tremendous amount of time and money in research and actual writing that I was promoting something that they were determined not to hear, and had never heard in the past, from a vassal of America's Far Eastern fiefdom. In order to prove she'd had no intention to cheat me, she had to resort to nitpicking over minor problems with my writing style as if she were licensed to teach English composition. Especially she carped at the fact that there were too many "run-on" sentences.

I belatedly realized that the fraudulent literally agent and her client were there to keep at bay any idea that would seriously undermine the status quo with the American dominance in Northeast Asia. They were, and still remain, censors virtually on the payroll of Washington.

A week or so after I had the last telephone conversation with Siegel, I said to Chang that his literally agent was too stupid to understand that thoughts and words are inseparable twins; there's no such thing as a brilliant thought expressed by a banal word, or a fresh word to describe an insipid idea. In response, he wrote to me: "You are wrong when you write that words and ideas are inseparable twins. Writing and thinking are two different talents, and few people possess both. Just think of the reverse of you: the world is full of ill-conceived ideas that are communicated flawlessly." He spilled the beans. This was the final confirmation that Chang is yet another empty-headed flapjaw.

For all this revelation from me, he may file a defamation lawsuit against this 76-year-old blogger who is dying in dire poverty. But the former shyster should know he would lose much more than he would get out of it.

In mid-2011, someone in Arkansas strongly suggested I revive the once-aborted book. He introduced me to his friend who had started a publishing company in New York a couple of years before. He even volunteered to proofread my manuscript. But before I could complete rewriting, I gave it a second thought: now it's for sure that I was dealing with exceptionally honest people; but the rest of the Americans are all small-time crooks like Chang and Siegel. That is how I finally gave up trying to get my simple message through to American readers: they should elect a President who would invoke Article 10 of the U.S.-Japan security treaty to send his Japanese counterpart a termination notice as soon as he is sworn in.

If you are interested, please take a peek at the outline of the Preface below. I'm also thinking about inserting the outline of Chapter 1 if and when I have a chance to post Part 2 of my allegations against Chang.


Initially I thought I was going to write a book to be titled something like The Coming Collapse of Japan as Gordon G. Chang would certainly do if he had a brain to understand the dead-end situation facing this country. That would sell because most American readers want to look away from the fact that the relationship between their country and its Far Eastern fiefdom is "financially unsustainable and morally obscene" as the late Chalmers Johnson put it. They never want to listen to a level-headed diagnoses of the two failing countries. I asked myself: “Can a book be truthful and sell at the same time?” The answer was clear: there is no such thing as truth that does not hurt. And very few people want to pay for something that hurts them. After many months of deliberation, I came to the conclusion that it would be more important to have a small number of people understand the untold truth about Japan than to help millions of people scratch the surface of the problems deep-rooted in the soil, where I have spent most of my life.

More specifically, the reason I finally dropped the sexy title is threefold.

Firstly, I do not know how to define the collapse of a country any more than Gordon G. Chang did when he wrote The Coming Collapse of China (Random House, 2001.) Does it mean the total disappearance of statehood, or is it just one of those regime changes? Intentionally or not, the prominent writer has remained very unclear on that point. Sometimes he specifically talks about the end of the single-party system without mentioning a post-collapse scenario, such as what if the Chinese people, when given suffrage, wanted the Communist Party of China to stay on in power with a different name. And some other times, he would talk about much more than that.

Secondly, in this era of “globalization,” it makes little sense to single out one country and discuss its fate. Now leaders of the G-8 or G-20 countries are all trapped in the “swim together, sink together” mindset. Among these nations, they regard each other as too big to fail. Against this backdrop, they have put state-of-the-art life-support systems in place everywhere. That is why a dead country can sometimes show weak vital signs.

In the West, especially in America, there are hordes of Japan experts, who have a large chunk of vested interests in the failed country. Just like starved vultures flock around a decomposing carcass, these self-proclaimed Japan experts are playing a pivotal role within the life-sustaining mechanism for the country. Capitalizing on their gullible patients, who are dying for assurances that their country is not yet done for, they keep disseminating one comforting illusion after another.

One such example is Joseph Nye. Just two months before 3/11, the Harvard professor told the managing editor of the Yomiuri Shimbun daily, one of their most important sponsors, that “Japan is an amazing society that reinvented itself in the Meiji Restoration, and became the first Asian power to deal with globalization.” He went on: “After 1945, it did it again and became the second largest economy in the world. I remember [International Court of Justice President Hisashi Owada] saying [around 2000] that it was time for the third reinvention.”

The third reason I thought The Coming Collapse of Japan would not be the right title of this book was that every nation-state that has its origin in the 18th or 19th century has already outgrown its historical raison d’etre. That should also mean the United Nations and all other groups of nation-states have ceased to function properly.

With all this in mind, I have chosen the title of this book.

But this is not to say I don’t know where Japan is heading. My argument that this country and its people are terminally ill is based solely on historical evidence and my firsthand experience living in this country in the last three-quarter century.

Robert D. Putnam once theorized that the trajectories for some countries to follow are “path-dependent.” The public policy professor at Harvard explained his coined word this way: “Where you can get to depends on where you’re coming from, and some destinations you simply cannot get to from here.”

I wouldn’t call his theory determinism, but in the last 150 years, Japan has time and again proved a change-disabled country which always returned to where it had started. In this book I highlighted only four epochal events as cases in point because I thought that would be more than enough. They are: 1) Commodore Mathew Perry’s surprise port calls in the 1850s, 2) the launch of the unwinnable war against the West in the 1940s, 3) the burst of the bubble economy in 1990, and 4) the natural calamity of 3/11 that quickly turned into a full-fledged man-made crisis.

I would not be surprised if most of you think it is totally counter-intuitive that the country, which still boasts the world’s third largest GDP, is unviable. In this relation I want to point out that when the media try to influence you, they single-mindedly target your intuitive faculty like Joseph Goebbels did as Hitler’s propaganda minister. Goebbels not only believed but also proved that repeating the same lie over and over again gives it an indisputable credibility.

Also I am aware that a variety of conspiracy theories have been circulating about spectacular incidents, such as 9/11 and 3/11. I don’t know if these allegations are sometimes fully substantiated. But I do not really care because in my definition of the word “unviable,” it simply means a total inability to cope with any threat, be it internal or external, and be it natural or artificial.

All you can say about Japan’s modern history, where it has always remained on the victim side, is that had it not been for the submissive and defeatist traits of the Japanese, any potential conspirator in the West would have realized that the benefits from virtually conquering the small archipelago, extremely poor in natural resources, would never be commensurate with the costs involved there.

In his 1988 book titled The Presence of the Past, British biochemist Rupert Sheldrake writes: When any particular organized system ceases to exist, as when an atom splits, a snowflake melts, an animal dies, its organized field disappears from that place. But in another sense, "morphic" fields do not disappear: they are potential organizing patterns of influence, and can appear again physically in other times and places, whenever and wherever the physical conditions are appropriate. When they do so, they contain within themselves a memory of their previous physical existences.

The real implication of this intriguing passage is that the demise of a country is a much more complex matter than these arrogant, superficial, and sometimes fraudulent, political prophets seem to think when talking so lightly about the fate of a nation and its people. But if you are sensitive enough to read the subtle and mixed signals being sent from “morphic fields,” you can even see a ray of hope beyond the death of a country.

Actually there are some, if not many, people and things that I still remain committed to in this country. Without these faces I would never have thought about writing this book. In this context I really hope this book will help you wake up to the reality of the doomed country named Japan. ·

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Setting the record straight with Gordon Guthrie Chang - PART 1
Authored by: Diogenes on Sunday, July 01 2012 @ 07:08 AM JST
Chang has it totally wrong about the American publishing industry. Not only are nearly all of the news media totally controlled by five corporations, these same corporations also own the publishing industry. While it is possible to get innovative and challenging works published, these kinds of authors face a total blackout in the book review circles. If you can't get your material reviewed in, say, the New York Times Book Review, no one will know of your book.

And, again, you are absolutely correct in your assessment of the American "experts" on foreign countries. It's actually comical to see one of these talking heads interviewed on the television news. Sometimes they are listed as "Japan Expert" so and so. Never identifying which think tank that actually work for.

The facts are that we all live in a psychopathic control grid, a world run by psychopaths. These are criminally insane beasts that have no conscience, no guilt feelings, no shame to motivate them back to humane behavior. Right now China and Russia are being surrounded by NATO and the U.S. None of this insanity makes the news. Neither the left or alternative media carry this escalation of a Cuban Missile Crisis Pt. 2, nor do the right media. Psychopaths are impulsive and selfish. When they want something, they take it, and anyone and anything that gets in their way will be crushed, consequences be damned for the rest of us.

I totally agree with your assessment that the U.S. and Japan are unviable. If they weren't being run by the insane and dangerous, the citizens in these two countries might stand a chance. However, because most citizens are swimming within this Orwellian, psychopathic, control-grid ocean, they can't recognize that the school is swimming right into the mouth of a large shark.

On the other hand, newspapers are dying on a daily basis, Reports are also emerging that television viewing is also nosediving to threatening levels for the corporate profit bottom line. More and more it is becoming clear that people are waking up to how the world works. The political class are so blatantly corrupt in both countries to the point that the blind are miraculously beginning to see. We are in the midst of a massive revolution that is taking place one person at a time, and as you quote Sheldrake, when the conditions are right, it gets easier and easier for next generation to succeed.
Setting the record straight with Gordon Guthrie Chang - PART 1
Authored by: Y.Yamamoto on Sunday, July 01 2012 @ 11:33 AM JST


I was heartened to know there still are a certain number of sane people on the other shore of the Pacific.

As to your optimistic assessment of the recent trend in the U.S. that more and more people are shying away from MSM, I can't tell for sure if you are right. But as far as Japan is concerned, things have remained essentially unchanged. There's no reason to believe the social media or any other "alternative" media are more reliable than the MSM.

We tend to underestimate MSM as if they are a sitting duck. It's funny, but it's often MSM themselves that pretend to be a sitting duck. That way they put these idiots off their guard. At least the Japanese MSM have sneakily but steadfastly neutralized or assimilated the so-called alternative media. This is true, perhaps to a lesser degree, with the rest of the world.

When Chad Hurley and some other young guys founded YouTube, it's slogan was "Broadcast Yourself." But now someone else is broadcasting himself. You can seldom watch a video without viewing the same, cheap commercials you see on TV at least for 5 seconds. The only thing you are allowed to do on the web is to tweet in 140 characters like a caged birdie.

My assessment all comes down to this: Now the MSM and the alternative media are the two wings of the same bird. I hope I'm too pessimistic.

Yu Yamamoto
Setting the record straight with Gordon Guthrie Chang - PART 1
Authored by: samwidge on Sunday, July 01 2012 @ 10:02 AM JST

I read each of Doctor Chang's books and remain impressed (as I am with "Unviable Japan"). A few of his predictions have now actually happened. At the time of writing, the world needed to be alarmed. Since publication of the Gordon Chang books, the world is more aware of China and of North Korea. Right or wrong, the Obama administration gives more attention to China than the Bush administration did.

The Obama administration's increased attention does not happen because the President is smarter but because media now nags the president constantly about both China and North Korea. That looks to me like the result of Chang's two books. We all know that President Obama will continue to blunder in the Orient but the people who nag him, nag him increasingly about China and North Korea.

That increased attention may be too little, too late but, at least, people are learning to watch growing China more carefully.

I subscribed to the financial newsletter of the respected Agora Financial company. Although Dr. Chang is never mentioned, Agora frequently shows the came concerns. Agora focuses on the results of activity addressed by Chang. The world financial industry is downright angry about China for its own reasons. China is fighting back

Changes are subtle but big.

I recently traveled to Seattle, Washington, USA to tour the Boeing airplane manufacturing facility. Boeing's big competitor is the European company, Airbus. As a member of the Experimental Aircraft Association, I note that China is emerging as leader in the field of small airplane design and manufacture. We Americans supported and funded South American aircraft development in Brazil and Chile. Nothing new happened after the basic facilities began producing. South America fails. Both Boeing and Airbus are aware that the new competition is likely to come from China.

China is selling the Yuneec in good quantity and developing the leadership in small electric airplanes. China is taking over the electric airplane business just as South Korea took over the industrial robotics industry. Chinese growth in electric aircraft design is phenomenal. As I stood beside Boeing's biggest new airplane, I heard my tour guide quote new Chinese concepts in aviation. That fresh attitude is astounding!

China is changing in exactly the way Chang suggested it would need to if it did not want to collapse.

Oh, sure. China is not becoming a democracy as Chang thinks it should. China is not reducing the sternness of its law enforcement. However China is increasing its trade impact on the world. China is richer than it was 20-years ago. China has more hope than ever before. We have less.

Chang pointed to the injustice of the Chinese banking system and that injustice still exists. Japan and the United States have banking injustices as well. Ours are subtle and more difficult to understand and OWS hasn't the foggiest idea of those injustices. These injustices are not changing.

We confuse justice with success. They are not the same.

Japan remains "unviable."

China is more viable and the V-22 Osprey is powerless against that viability. Okinawa is too small an issue to matter to anybody but Japan. Japan and the US are about to lose (collapse).

Like Chang, I cannot know how things will really turn out but I note that the changes that are not reported in media are simply too big and too complex for media to sort out and describe. As a reporter, I would have been entirely unable to alert the public. Only Chang succeeds in this.

There is so much to know and I have too little knowledge.

I can only be thankful that you and Dr. Chang are around. I am pleased to hear the thoughts that each of you offers.

Setting the record straight with Gordon Guthrie Chang - PART 1
Authored by: Y.Yamamoto on Sunday, July 01 2012 @ 11:46 AM JST


Now that you say, "Okinawa is too small an issue to matter to anybody but Japan," here's a Okinawa trivia for you. Do you know how many soldiers, generals and their family members have been stationed in the "too-small" islands in the last 67 years? If it's too small an issue, why have your successive presidents invested that much resources there at the expense of taxpayers in the two countries? Or do Americans have too much money to use effectively? I thought most of them were in debt up to their necks.

As to Chang's lucrative prediction business, I have nothing to say but he always wins. When things unfolded the way he had predicted, the idiot can triumphantly say he won. (Big applause to the prophet.) When his prediction didn't materialize, he can say China didn't collapse because its leaders heeded his advice. (Big applause to the savior.) This is really a kindergarten stuff.

Problems facing China, Japan, Iran, Syria, Egypt or any other country are none of America's business. The U.S. should leave the rest of the world alone as the late Dr. Paul advocated

Yu Yamamoto
Setting the record straight with Gordon Guthrie Chang - PART 1
Authored by: Diogenes on Sunday, July 01 2012 @ 12:45 PM JST
When I said that people are waking up, I meant the Western world. The word is getting out that nearly all falsely labeled "alternative" media are an appendage to a corporate holding company. They might look independent, but they are the controlled opposition. Vladimir Lenin said, "If there's going to be an opposition, we will lead it." This open secret is being exposed exponentially. I've never felt so confident that there is an Armageddon of the mind occurring globally. It's unstoppable. The ignorant and cowardly will remain ignorant and cowardly, while the rest of us that feel we've got nothing to lose will roll forward like a Juggernaut.

Will life survive the U.S./NATO axis? Russia and China are being militarily surrounded. The psychopaths running this, the biggest military axis in world history, are painting these two countries into a corner. This is a typical news report that is never reported in the mainstream or alternative media. Imagine this kind of installation inside Mexico or Canada, and manned by Russian or Chinese military personnel. It would be unacceptable, but the Russians and Chinese are supposed to accept it. That will never happen.

The U.S. has missile and radar batteries as close as 60 miles (110km) from Russian territory. I was alive during the Cuban missile crisis, which was 90 miles from the U.S. We almost had WWIII, which would have ended all life on this planet. Now we're back in Cuban Missile Crisis Part 2. The facts are that no one in any Western country has representative government. If they did, these psychopaths that are hell bent on world destruction would be locked up in mental hospitals where they belong. This encirclement is continuing and following a well-announced by NATO schedule. They expect to have Russia and China totally encircled by 2016. The question is: Will the Russians and Chinese wait for 2016, or will they do a first strike on us? Some pundits have put that question out there, and it is a legitimate one. While more and more people are waking up to the psychopathic control grid that we all inhabit, we will win if WWIII is not touched off. Otherwise, the 92.5% of humanity that these elites are engineering to exterminate will occur.

So on the one hand, I feel positive about the future, but on the other, I have to face the reality that all planetary life might not have a future, if these criminally insane monsters fulfill their mission.