Yet another Harvard-educated idiot Hidehiko Nishiyama is the spokesman of the Nuclear and industrial Safety Agency. The bastard is a household name now.
In my March 15 post, I wrote the Japanese government, media and general
public should strictly avoid wishful thinking
and always be prepared for the worst case scenario. It seemed to me that they didn't have the slightest idea of what crisis management is all about. Now, four weeks into the crisis, they remain unchanged.
brain-dead people still believe the most important thing in fighting the
disaster is just coming together to form a monolithic social milieu and political climate where no criticism is allowed. To them, the last thing they should do in an emergency like this one is pointing a finger at Prime Minister
Naoto Kan, his right-hand man Yukio Edano, Tokyo Electric Power Company,
the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency under the jurisdiction of the Ministry
of Economy, Trade and Industry, and the mainstream media.
Because of, rather than despite their misplaced optimism and the false sense of
unity, the NISA had to raise its severity rating yesterday to Level
7, the highest on IAEA's International Nuclear Event Scale (INES.)
The agency virtually admitted that the government and media have turned the not-too-colossal natural calamity into a largest-ever man-made catastrophe. Things are beyond control now.
Mr. Ryuichi Hirokawa's Geiger counter was pegged when he stepped into a village close to the Fukushima nuclear power plant. Now that the INES instrument was pinned at 7, you never know how hopeless the situation actually is; maybe it has already
reached Level 10.
It's really stunning that Edano still keeps repeating his signature line
that people should keep calm because there are no "immediate"
threats, while Kan is reiterating that now is the time for the 128 million hearts to beat as one and look to the "bright future."
The media also stress that Fukushima is no Chernobyl, quoting Nishiyama (photo) as saying: "The total amount of radioactive materials emitted thus far roughly equals 10% of that released in the Chernobyl accident." Why, then, did the NISA belatedly raise the alarm level?
From the beginning, the Kan administration has been constantly politicizing the disaster as if it were a blow of kamikaze. That is why the media don't give a damn about the inconsistency.
This past weekend the ruling Democratic Party of Japan suffered another stunning setback in local polls. Now it looks obvious that Kan won't last many more months. But it is also obvious that Kan's resignation won't bring about change simply because the Japanese will most probably remain unchanged forever.
My take on these things is that the Japanese are going through their final test now. I don't know; perhaps it's already a makeup exam. But I am reasonably sure they are flunking out.
Under the circumstances, it's really astounding that the Westerners, especially Americans, have been giving prodigal praise to the Japanese for their perseverance in the face of the crisis. In the postwar era, the Japanese people were fantasizing about America where they thought freedom, prosperity and justice prevailed. In 1970, Herman Kahn wrote: "It would not be surprising if the 21st century turned out to be the Japanese century."
If Kahn was just a stupid "futurologist", today's Americans are all idiots because 20 years after the burst of the bubble economy, they still cling to the ridiculous myth that the Japanese are innovative, well-disciplined, hard-working, persevere, polite, hospitable and clean people. For a very obvious reason, they don't want to look at reality. Although the mainstream media here have hushed it all up, the matter of the fact remains that looting, rape, charity-swindling, and all other types of crime are rampant not only in the afflicted area, but also other areas across the country.
Maybe it's a total waste of time to introduce the thoughts of Messrs. Ryuichi Hirokawa
and Takashi Hirose to American morons, but I thought there can be a handful
of people out there who still remain awake even in these twilight years of
the American century. That is why I have pulled myself together to resume
the abridged translation of their presentations.
Slide 17: As shown here, reactors No. 1, No. 2, No. 3 of the Fukushima No. 1 Plant
and reactors No. 1 to No. 4 of the adjacent No. 2 Plant, which had been in operation, were all "scrammed"
the moment the quake hit. But ....
Slides 18/19: Take a look at this logarithmic chart for a reactor whose electrical
output is 1,000,000kW and thermal output is 3,300,000kW. This shows how
its thermal output declines exponentially after the reactor gets scrammed. As you can
see here, thermal output, called "decay heat" in this case, comes
down to the vicinity of 10,000kW in a matter of 24 hours from the scram,
which is almost equivalent to the total output from a thermal power station. The problem lies with the fact that it levels off there forever unless some extraordinary steps are taken.
Slides 20/21: I think you are familiar with this illustration because you have already
seen it dozens of times on TV. But beware; these self-styled experts always
oversimplify the mechanism to release the decay heat into the ocean. It's
much more complex.
Slide 22: Inside the reactor, there are innumerable valves, pipes, cables and many
other things. Even TEPCO operators know practically nothing about these
things. Now I'm operating this PC. I'm sure you guys also operate your
PC at home. Most of you drive your cars, too. But what if your computer or car
gets broken? Can you fix it all by yourself? Of course not. By the same
token, the reactor is a real black box to TEPCO operators. They made a serious mistake when they thought they didn't need an onsite help from Hitachi, Toshiba and Mitsubishi.
This is the very reason the situation has been quickly exacerbated.
Slide 23: Look at this picture of the guts of the reactor. You can't tell what
Slide 24: The same thing can be said of this diagram. This is where these guys are pouring
seawater in a haphazard way.
Slide 25: It used to be said a core meltdown occurs when the temperature of the
fuel rod reaches 2,800 degrees Celsius. But two years ago I learned that
was not true when I was watching a French documentary broadcast by NHK.
In that film, a French nuclear engineer was saying that the reactor core
starts at 600 degrees Celsius.
Slide 26: This slide illustrates how what we call the suppression chamber works
to cool water vapor, liquefy it and reduce pressure. The chamber is also
equipped with the Emergency Core Cooling System.
Slide 27: Let's take a look at the abbreviated chronology of the damages inflicted on the reactors in the No. 1 Plant. It says that at 15:42, all the AC sources went dead, 3 minutes later, all the oil tanks were swept away, 1 hour later, the ECCSs for reactors No. 1 and No. 2 became disabled, and so on. From the series of event, you can tell exactly when, where and how it all started. As to "why," I've already told you tsunami caused all this. The "unprecedented" jolt had nothing to do with these damages.
Slide 28: I have drawn this graph based on fragmentary information given by the
Asahi Shimbun daily. It says the maximum height of tsunami assumed for
the Fukushima reactors at the design phase was only 5m. Now we know the tidal
waves that washed the Fukushima power plant were as tall as 15m. To put it bluntly, the designers are at fault for the disaster. Moreover, Fukushima is not alone; the same
is true with practically all nuclear power plants located in coastal areas of this country.
Slide 29: On the night of March 13, Masataka Shimizu, president of TEPCO, said
at a press conference: "The tsunami of March 11 was way beyond our
prediction. And yet I believe our assumptions were as valid as they could have been because they were
based on our careful examination of historical data." Give me a break!
Did he just overlook the 38.2m tsunami that hit this country as recently
as 115 years ago? It's incredible that such a bastard is the head of the
leading power company of Japan. · read more (22 words)
Reactor No. 1 of TEPCO's Fukushima No. 1 Plant was washed by tsunami on March 11
Up until 2 weeks ago, I was translating a paper my close friend Lara Chen
Tien-shi had written in Japanese for a British publisher. To finish the gig by the deadline, I had to try hard to overcome all these difficulties
caused by Parkinson's disease and many other ailments. Yet it was rewarding
in part because Lara arranged that the quasi-governmental organization
she is working for will pay me a reasonable remuneration. More importantly, I always find the subject of her research quite relevant and intriguing.
Most of the time, I do English translation of Japanese text
practically for nothing.
Actually I'm currently in the middle of a legal battle against this rotten
country represented by the municipality of Yokohama over its decision to
seize my annuities on the grounds that I have refused to pay Residential
Tax of 971,400 yen since my retirement. I am insisting that I have already
paid them much more than enough. Income Taxes are automatically withheld
from the peanuts which they call pension annuities. On top of that I have paid value added taxes, tobacco taxes, and some other dues. And what did
I get in return? Practically nothing.
Also, I am arguing that I have already
sunk below "the minimum standards of wholesome and cultured living" which Article 25 of the Japanese Constitution guarantees.
So it's all the more frustrating to have to work on yet another English
translation entirely for free. But it can't be helped because for this
blogger, introducing a little more established Japanese figures than I is the only
way to make you Westerners understand I am not alone here. As long as I remain a heretic who tells the truth that other Japanese seldom do, you never take me seriously. That is why I have decided to roughly translate this video.
I, myself, hadn't known these names, Takashi Hirose and Ryuichi Hirokawa,
until I came across them on YouTube. I have asked 6 local friends if they know these gentlemen whose way of thinking is very un-Japanese. Only one woman, who is a reporter at a local newspaper publisher, answered
in the affirmative. It's small wonder that you Westerners have no knowledge
of them. The Japanese media, let alone their
Western counterparts, never mention these invisible names and inaudible
I think there are two reasons why the Westerners, especially Americans, have totally disregarded these respectable Japanese.
Reason 1: They don't want to listen to whoever they don't want to. Neither do they want to see whatever they don't want to.
Reason 2: These gentlemen are neither ideologues, nor busybodies. They
dedicate themselves solely, or at least primarily, to the cause of the well-being of their fellow countrymen. They have no reason to talk to Americans or Europeans.
So I'll try here to provide you with an abridged translation of the presentations
given on March 23 by Messrs. Hirokawa and Hirose.
Ryuichi Hirokawa, the organizer and emcee of the session:
Ryuichi Hirokawa, 63, is an independent journalist
One day after the quake, Mr. Hirokawa went to Fukushima
Prefecture where the troubled nuclear power plant is located. Although
either Naoto Kan's central government or the prefectural/municipal governments
hadn't officially declared an emergency in the area surrounding the power
plant for an obvious reason, Hirokawa learned that the area within a 20-30km
radius from the plant had been virtually evacuated. At least he saw no
reporters dispatched from the mainstream media.
Braving the invisible radioactive
materials wafting in the air, Hirokawa got into the area carrying a radiation detector which
he had bought when he was covering the apocalypse of Chernobyl in the late-1980s
through early-1990s. It can only detect radioactive particles up to 100
μSv. In Chernobyl, he never saw the needle pegged to the extreme right. But in Fukushima, the moment he stepped into the area, he saw the needle pinned at 100 μSv. He asked a passerby, who happened to have a detector on which
radiation levels can be measured up to 1,000 μSv, what the reading was
on his instrument. The answer was that he couldn't tell either because
the needle had already hit 1,000 μSv.
Hirokawa concludes his introductory remarks by saying what is happening
there is even worse than the situation the Ukrainians experienced 25 years
ago, and the way the Japanese government is handling the situation is no
different from that of the communist government. He warns that the Japanese people
should wake up to the severity of the disaster their government and media are trying very hard to cover
Takashi Hirose, the main speaker:
Takashi Hirose is a 68-year-old nonfiction writer
Slide 1/Slide 2: Shown here are three monkeys who refused to hear the truth, speak the
truth and see the truth. I just wanted to say the Japanese, especially media people, are acting like these monkeys while the natural disaster of March 11 is quickly turning into a man-made catastrophe.
Slide 3: In this country tsunami and earthquakes are something people should always
be prepared for. I was sure a huge tsunami was coming very soon, and now I am sure that I will get killed sooner or later by a real devastating
quake. But the series of deadly accidents at the Fukushima nuclear power
plant is a different story. As Mr. Hirokawa said minutes ago, it's 100% man-made. Frankly, I don't believe the situation there can be put under control
anymore. But just for argument's sake, let's assume we will somehow get over this difficulty.
Slide 4: The nuclear catastrophe should be attributed mainly to these shameless scholars who have never learned their lessons from the truth and the mainstream media who have been unenlightening their audiences with their "wide shows" everyday. Let me give you an example: Several days ago, I got a call from a reporter of the Tokyo Shimbun daily. I told him that the 54 nuclear reactors we have here should all be shut down immediately because otherwise Japan would be finished. The next morning I knew the newspaper didn't like my comment. The article was headlined something like stricter check on these reactors is needed. This is a total distortion of what I said.
Slide 5: Let's take a fresh look at what really happened at 14:46, March 11. At
the beginning the Meteorological Agency put its Magnitude at 8.3. In a matter of hours the agency revised the intensity to 8.4, then to 8.8, and finally to 9.0. This is exactly
what the Chinese government did in the wake of the Sichuan Great Earthquake
of 2008. I suspected that the Japanese government had to make it the largest-ever
earthquake in the face of the outbreak of the nuclear nightmare in Fukushima.
Slide 6: My suspicion proved right when a geologist by the name of Hidenori Shimamura confided to me that in order to inflate the magnitude reading, the Meteorological Agency abruptly changed the scale from just the Magnitude Japan has been using traditionally to the Moment Magnitude which is generally accepted among seismologists in other countries. As a result, the March 11 tremor now looks to eclipse the Hanshin-Awaji Great Earthquake of 1995 that claimed 6,434 lives. One of the reasons the government wanted the agency to falsify the Magnitude reading is because it wanted to prevent Tokyo Electric Power Company in which it has a lot of vested interests from going under because of a huge compensation. This is where the manipulation of information has all started to instill in people a false idea that the quake was way beyond any prediction whereas its Magnitude was at most 8.3 or 8.4.
Slide 7: From Day 1 of the crisis, NHK and other media organizations kept saying it was a "once-in-a-millennium" quake. Give me a break! The earthquake of Magnitude 8.3 or 8.4 was not unprecedented at all. Moreover, the destruction by the quake was dwarfed by damages caused by tsunami that followed it. And was the tsunami really unpredictable? Once again, it wasn't. Just for instance, Iwate Prefecture was washed by a 38.2-meter-high tsunami as recently as 1896.
Slide 8: As of now, we know from observations conducted by many experts that the maximum height of the tidal waves was somewhere between 15m to 20m. All in all, you should bear in mind that TV commentators are telling a lie when they say the natural calamity of March 11 was beyond any prediction.
Slide 9: When measured in terms of Gal, the same thing can be said of the "once-in-a-millennium"
tremor which recorded 2,933 Gal, or 3 times the Gravitational Acceleration.
For instance, the earthquake which hit the same area as recently as 3 years ago marked
3,866 Gal. Let me reiterate this here: The notion about the once-in-a-millennium
thing is a transparent trick to cover up unpreparedness for and mishandling
of the ongoing crisis on the part of the government.
Slide 10: Last year I published this book titled The Time Bombs of Nuclear Reactors. In this book I warned the Japanese to get prepared for a real devastating quake and tsunami which I think are imminent. The tsunami part of my prediction may have materialized this time. But I am sure the massive quake has yet to come. When I finished writing the book, I swore myself that if and when my prediction
comes true, I should stop talking about this issue and devote myself to
protecting my grandchildren because unlike Mr. Hirokawa, I am a chicken-hearted
person who would never risk his life in the face of a disaster. But now
I have changed my mind. Getting infuriated at all the gimmicks by the government
and the media, I started to think I have to make every possible effort
to reveal the truth. To concentrate on this task, I have already sent all
my grandchildren overseas. When doing so, I felt extremely sad because chances are
I will never see them again. I want to stress this: You should never play
down the implication of what has already happened and what is going to
happen in the near future.
Slide 11: Among other things, I find it really outrageous to hear the president of Tokyo Electric Power Company repeatedly saying the disaster was really unavoidable. Every
time TEPCO people explain why this had to happen, they say they had never assumed such a big quake and tsunami. They should feel ashamed of the innumerable missteps caused by the complete lack of professionalism. Even a layman such as I could predict what was coming in his book. Let us not forget that TEPCO should
be held responsible for its negligence of duty to prevent such a nuclear
Slide 12: I really hate to say this, but I had predicted exactly how the tragedy has unfolded. Now let me touch on the history of the now-crippled reactors. Reactor
No. 1, the oldest one, became operational on March 26, 1971. So it will
mark the 40th anniversary in three days from now.
Slide 13: This slide is a little too busy, but the most important thing to note is that all the reactors in Fukushima No. 1 Plant were designed by General Electric. One of my close friends Mr. Mitsuhiko Tanaka of Hitachi took part in the construction of the No. 4 reactor. But according to him, Japan's nuclear industry was at its fledgling stage in those days and all the blueprints were provided to Hitachi by GE. So please keep in mind that these reactors now on the verge of a total meltdown were all designed by GE.
Slide 14: On March 25 last year, TEPCO filed an application with the Nuclear and
Industrial Safety Agency for its permission to extend the use of the then-39-year-old
reactor No. 1 for many more years. At that time TEPCO and the agency agreed that
its service life was estimated at 60 years.
Slide 15: Another thing I want you to remember is that on October 26, 2010, the electricity company
put its reactor No. 3, one of the obsolete reactors in Fukushima, into
commercial service for power generation using plutonium fuel, when it was already 34-years-old. As we have already seen, people
in Fukushima Prefecture are now exposed to most hazardous radioactive particles from
the No. 3 reactor. I'll come back to this later in my presentation.
Slide 16: In terms of quake resistance, all these reactors in Fukushima No. 1 Plant
were originally designed to endure a tremor of 270 Gal. TEPCO has said
they were later reinforced to withstand a quake of 600 Gal. Although I
am inclined to doubt the power company told us the truth, it does not seem
the March 11 quake was strong enough to destroy these reactors because
the horizontal power to reactor No. 3, for instance, was no more than 507
Gal. But that does not make any difference to the fact that these reactors
are too aged to withstand what is coming in the near future. I'm 68-years-old.
Like any old man, I wear glasses, which, incidentally, got broken by the quake. I may
also start wearing false teeth or hearing aid anytime soon. In short, I'm
almost a cyborg. The same applies to these reactors. You can never rejuvenate them no matter how hard you fix this problem here, that problem there. · read more (57 words)
Friday, April 08 2011 @ 09:56 AM EDT
Contributed by: Y.Yamamoto
Since the outbreak of the ongoing catastrophe, I have uploaded five posts
to tell my prominently Western audience what is really going on in this
rotten country named Japan. Basically I hadn't expected the Japanese to
wake up to the reality that their country is almost sunk by now, and yet
I must admit it was a great disappointment that most people in the U.S. and some European countries have also been too brainwashed by the media to take me seriously. Some thought I
was just a grumpy old man; some others simply refused to lend an ear to
this blogger because he is just a nobody.
But I still insist that if you are anxious to know the truth about the
now world-famous nuclear power plant in Fukushima Prefecture, you should
look at the video embedded below here. If you are too busy to watch the
2-hour-long video, or you can't afford to install the software to translate
Japanese into English, just forget it and remain brainwashed. Fortunately, though, their PowerPoint slides are on the wordy side. So automatic translation
must be relatively easy if you don't understand a word they speak.
Thursday, April 07 2011 @ 06:05 AM EDT
Contributed by: Y.Yamamoto
The faded photo of Hibiya Park and its surrounding area was taken by a GI in November 1945
When the U.S. government offered a massive relief operation involving 18,000
troops, the Japanese government jumped at it and named it "Operation
Tomodachi." To be more precise, it should have been named
Operation Yujo because Yujo means friendship whereas Tomodachi just means a friend, or friends. Semantics aside, however, most Japanese
have really appreciated the friendship demonstrated by the Americans because they are really fed up with their government which has constantly mishandled the post-quake situation.
My take on the operation is miles apart from theirs. I suspect there's something fishy about it. To begin with, Prime
Minister Naoto Kan had already dispatched an unprecedented 100,000 military
personnel of the Japan Self-Defense Forces to these areas afflicted by
the March 11 quake and tsunami. What the heck are they doing out there?
Japan's defense budget for fiscal 2010 was 4,682.6 billion yen, or approximately
US$56.4 billion if you exclude what they call omoiyari yosan, "sympathy" budget, voluntarily allocated to the U.S. armed forces stationed in Japan. Despite the huge expenditure, Japan's disguised military has refused to engage in actual combat in the last six decades on the pretext that the Constitution prohibits "forever" the Japanese people from threatening or using "force as means of settling international disputes." Thanks to the war-renouncing clause, the Japanese can still boast that not a single drop of their blood, nor their enemy's, has been shed in actual warfare. To them, it can't be helped if the lives of American youth sometimes have to be put at risk.
Yet, they should admit that Article 9 of the Constitution does not prohibit
these toy soldiers from fighting a disaster. So, there is no reason to
think the 100,000 troops are doing fairly well in Miyagi, Iwate and Fukushima
Prefectures. Actually all they have been doing there is to recover a small
number of corpses here, remove a tiny amount of debris there and haphazardly pour
a bucketful seawater onto the crippled Fukushima nuclear power plant. It
seems as though they are deliberately doing their jobs so poorly as to
prove Operation Tomodachi is as needed as in fighting an imaginary enemy force.
I remember walking side by side with my father on a clear day in the fall
of 1945. We were crossing Hibiya Koen park diagonally toward the General
Headquarters of the Allied Powers because someone in the GHQ had wanted
to ask my father about his wartime activities as a leading scientist in
aeronautics. He had somehow wanted to bring me along. You may wonder why
we could cross the park diagonally. The reason we could do so is because
the park and the surrounding area had been almost flattened out leaving only a handful of structures such as the GHQ building and the
Imperial Palace across the moat from it.
There were dozens of GIs playing softball there. When we were walking behind a center fielder, a batter hit a long ball. It directly hit me, perhaps on the shoulder. The slugging GI dashed a long way from the plate toward us. He said in English something like, "I'm awfully sorry. Are you OK?" Since I didn't understand English, my dad smiled and answered on my behalf: "No problem. He's quite OK."
This was my first encounter with an American. Ever since, I thought ordinary
Americans were all friendly people like the GI. I admired them for their
positive attitude toward life and straightforward way of thinking. Even
though I didn't particularly admire those bastards named Harry S. Truman
and Dwight Eisenhower, in later years I got really turned off by the likes of Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Hussein Obama
because these crooked guys have absolutely nothing in common with the GI.
Now I think it is noteworthy that there are many soldiers participating
in Operation Tomodachi from the bases in Okinawa. U.S. Navy Admiral Robert F. Willard has already
told reporters to the effect that he hopes that the Japanese will now understand
what for the U.S. has deployed so many soldiers in Okinawa. Most recent reports have it that Hillary Clinton is now planning to come over to Japan
in a week or so. · read more (124 words)
Saturday, April 02 2011 @ 05:12 AM EDT
Contributed by: Y.Yamamoto
Fishing boats driven ashore by tsunami
At 2.46 p.m., March 11, it hit the northern half of Japan's coastal area
facing the Pacific Ocean. Since the rundown apartment building I live in is 30-something-years-old, it is unlikely that the architect assumed a huge quake such as this one.
Yet the elevator is a little more modern. So I knew it had automatically
stopped the moment it sensed the jolt.
Also I knew that with my legs crippled
by Parkinson's, I wouldn't be able to climb down the fire escape any faster
than a snail. So I remained indoors. But even inside my 172 sq.ft. micro-apartment, I had nothing but to sit at the computer, my longtime friend, because I thought it wouldn't do any good to move
around in the usable space of no more than 95 square feet. I was just watching
absentmindedly the walls, the window, the ceiling, and the beams which
were supposedly supporting the entire structure, all warping like hell.
It was as though Buddha was enjoying the pendulum motion of the Frisbee
at Disneyland - if you can see what I mean by this.
Around the same time, one of my grown-up sons was trying hard from his
workplace to reach his wheelchair-bound wife confined to their home and
his old mother (my ex) who lives in their neighborhood, according to what
he told me a couple of days later. Maybe he also tried to find out, on
behalf of his mate, if his in-laws were all OK. They live, or at
least lived, in Miyagi, the nearest prefecture to the epicenter. It turned
out not OK because for one thing, his wife's uncle was swallowed by tsunami.
It didn't cross his mind to call or mail his dad, as he told me in a little
apologetic tone. I told him that it's quite OK with me because I'm so used to it living in this rotten country for 75 years. Actually I think he did
the right things in the right priority. I could have been crushed under
the rubble if the quake had lasted another minute. Yet, I would never have
His personality is diagonally different from mine. The guy is so likable a person that he could be a role model for the Japanese who all want to be people persons. No sensible woman would fall in love with such a guy who becomes committed with everyone, but he couldn't care less.
From my point of view, the only problem with the guy was that
he didn't know he couldn't be nice to everyone, especially in the face of a crisis. But now thanks to the devastating quake, he seems to have realized that in reality, the number of adults he could save in an emergency situation would be no more than 2 to 3.
Actually he was learning the basics of preventive risk management and post-fact crisis management amid the March 11 tremor. He tried to find out, in a very short period of time, what he could do, and couldn't do, under the constraint of time and other resources. I suspect that the same constraint was experienced across the board and at all levels. Policymakers were no exceptions.
In fact, though, the likes of Prime Minister Naoto Kan and Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano learned absolutely nothing from the pinch. Although most Japanese and some observers in the West disagree, the fact of the matter remains that the natural calamity quickly turned into a man-made catastrophe.
I am inclined to attribute the fiasco primarily to the incompetence of the makeshift crisis management team virtually headed by Edano. And I think he had to fail because of his utter ignorance of the basics of crisis management. He and his boss Kan thought the most important thing when trying to effectively counter the crisis was to create a monolithic social milieu and a conciliatory political climate. To that end, they have been trying hard to instill a sense of unity into people's minds, through the mainstream media. TV commercials they run around the clock are really reminiscent of the prewar and wartime slogan propagated by NHK as the mouthpiece of
Daihon-ei, the Imperial Army Headquarters. It went like this: "Ichioku hinotama-to nare" or "One hundred million hearts should beat as one."
Actually it was a piece of cake even for the incompetent guys in the Kan administration to create a monolith because even in the normal situation, a false sense of oneness always prevails in this country. Even the major opposition Liberal
Democratic Party has now started to show a keen interest in forming a grand coalition as proposed by the ruling Democratic Party of Japan.
I wouldn't be surprised if a Taisei Yokusankai-like regime comes into being in a matter of weeks. In October 1940, on the eve of the oil embargoes
imposed against Japan by the U.S., the U.K., China and the Netherlands, a grand coalition was formed to prepare Japan for all-out war. The only condition for the unholy alliance to materialize is that Kan yields his position as Prime Minister to Sadakazu Tanigaki, head of the LDP.
Now with all the cracks from the "lost 20 years" buried deep underneath, the Japanese are all in the same boat. No one is supposed to left out or unattended.
In the wake of the financial crisis of the early-1990s, we businesspeople, perhaps with some exceptions such as I, were using the same-boat analogy. But there always were two major problems with it.
Firstly, as I have already said, it can never be true that the life boat has enough room to accommodate everyone. Does it have enough
space for social outcasts and dissidents such as those who keep busy with their looting business in the afflicted areas, those who are just panicking over the free fall in the stock price of Tokyo Electric Power Company, those who have difficulty
footing the tax bills to fund the government's emergency relief programs,
or those in Okinawa who badly want the U.S. Marine Corps to get out of their island
more than anything else?
Secondly, and perhaps more importantly, what good would it do to remain
in the boat which is doomed to wreck?
In those turbulent years, we were doing what we called the SWOT analysis all the time. The abbreviation stands for strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. The real implication of the exercise is that because of resource constraints everywhere, it is crucially important to optimize the use of time, money and people, especially in the face of a crisis.
Businesspeople were increasingly becoming aware that there was no such thing as an opportunity that did not entail a threat, and vice versa. We thought a good manager should be able to identify the SWOT involved there and find the best trade-off between costs and benefits, or opportunities and risks. To him, opportunities often meant smaller risks. Total elimination of risks or total avoidance of costs was out of the question.
Now Edano, et al, were mistaken when they thought bringing people together the way they did was what crisis management was all about. Actually, this formula is not only useless, but also harmful as was proved in the first half of the 1940s. What was really needed was professionalism.
With these in mind, let us take a quick look at TEPCO's part of the story. The electricity company which runs the now crippled Fukushima power station has kept suppressing critical data since Day 1 of the crisis. When it released a piece of data, almost always belatedly, it was, more often than not, fabricated, and its interpretation was distorted by childish tricks such as comparisons between apples and oranges. And every second day, the TEPCO spokesman corrected a reading on the dosimeter or particle detector which he had released previously.
At least, these manipulations of information had lasted until TEPCO realized its traditional modus operandi wouldn't work any more when the U.S. military started flying its Global Hawk unmanned high-altitude reconnaissance aircraft over the power plant.
The brainless guy overseeing activities of the crisis control center kept saying, "Stay calm, because things out there are basically under control now," as if it wasn't a race against time. While Edano was stalling for time to allow the criminals in TEPCO to recidivate, the situation arising from the force majeure of March 11 quickly went out of control.
Why did that happen when 128-million hearts were supposedly beating as one to fight the crisis? As you can tell if you have read my post titled Honne and Tatemae, the reason is twofold as described below:
■ As the virtual head of the crisis management team, Edano thought the single most important quality of a leader is to trust his people unconditionally in the nation where the world's most credulous people think it's not a big deal to deceive each other. TEPCO knew that very well. ■ On the other hand, Edano knew that he could shift the blame onto TEPCO when things went wrong. Needless to the say, though, the government should be held more, or at least no less, responsible for the constant aggravation of the situation no matter whether someone else is found at fault. (Refer to the footnotes added on April 6 for some examples of mishandling of the situation on the part of the government.)
This is the most serious fallout of the same-boat mindset. If this had happened somewhere else, say in China, we must have seen massive riots, or at least, people must have refused to pay their electricity bills.
And now that things went helplessly wrong, Edano was in a position also to have to invite emergency relief teams from foreign
countries on board his sinking ship.
It is true that nuclear scientists and engineers in these foreign crews are more competent than their Japanese counterparts who have too much vested interests in the nuclear industry to reveal the truth. But, it's a different story when it comes to foreign experts in crisis management. While the basics of crisis management apply universally, its actual practices are pretty much culture-dependent. Simply it is impossible for them to make any contribution in the culture totally different from theirs.
Here again, the Japanese government neglected to do a SWOT analysis for
its diplomatic risk management. It should have known that there is no such
thing as a free lunch, as we businesspeople used to be saying. For one
thing, the U.S. government did not send in for nothing 450 military and nonmilitary personnel together with
a bunch of equipment. As any sane person can tell, Washington
is now fishing in troubled waters where antibase Okinawans who have been
thrown out of the boat are already drowning.
In short, the stupid Kan, Edano and their mouthpieces in the media have chosen the surest way to fail. Now they might as well put the entire country in a "sarcophagus," just like the Soviet Union did Chernobyl 25 years ago. Even in that case, they should exclude Japan's last colony - Okinawa - because it does not deserve to be treated like that.
The worst thing about the haphazard way of crisis management particular to the Japanese culture is the fact that this way people will learn absolutely nothing
from their failure.
They have already had a similar problem with Kashiwazaki
Nuclear Power Plant located in Niigata Prefecture. Three and a half years
have past since some reactors there were damaged by an earthquake of Magnitude 6.8. But as of now, they still remain unrecovered.
Also, there is yet another problematic reactor dubbed "Monju" in the power station located in Fukui Prefecture. Monju is one of the few "fast breeder reactors" around which generate more
"MOX" fuel than it consumes. In 1995, it suffered a serious accident
when several hundred kilograms of sodium leaked out. In May 2010, the quasi-governmental
Japan Atomic Energy Agency, which runs the power plant, announced that
its fast breeder reactor had now been restarted. But in a matter of 3 months
from the restart, JAEA got into another serious trouble when replacing
the fuel rod. According to the independent daily Nikkan Gendai, the problem has not yet been fixed as of today.
· read more (534 words)
Simple arithmetic aside, my sympathy goes more to a greater number of people
who get killed by others or kill selves every year than to those identified or presumed as dead in the once-in-a-millennium calamity of March 11. It is true that the weak should take the blame for their weakness, but it is also true that the leader of the country should be held responsible for their plight that has weakened them.
As I wrote in my post titled For Whom Kamikaze Blows, Prime Minister Naoto Kan is among those who benefited most from the earthquake
of Magnitude 9.0 and 33-foot tsunami that followed it. As if to make sure that
he can make the most of the windfall disaster, Kan has been exacerbating the situation by mishandling the constant drain of radioactive
contaminants from the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant. At least, that's what
he looks to be doing through his right-hand man Yukio Edano.
Inauguration of Taisei Yokusankai on October 21, 1940
Drowsy-eyed Ministers at the Diet session of March 29, 2011
As a result, we are now witnessing a social milieu, which has a striking
resemblance to 大政翼賛会 (Taisei Yokusankai). Taisei Yokusankai is the grand coalition formed for the cause of 国体維持 (Kokutai Iji or preserving the polity centered around the Divine Emperor) on the eve of the oil embargoes imposed against Japan. If there is any difference between Taisei Yokusankai and Kan's virtual coalition that even includes the Japanese Communist Party,
you can find it in these pictures. In the Diet session of March 29, where
lawmakers supposedly discussed the source of the emergency relief fund,
most Cabinet members, including Kan, were intermittently taking a nap.
They would say it couldn't be helped because they were so exhausted from
working hard since March 11, but I am sure I've worked much harder and
longer on a very demanding gig only to make ends meet despite the difficulty
caused by Parkinson's Disease. Actually, these highly-paid bastards looked
so dozy because they rest assured that the Kan administration, which had
been on the verge of falling apart before the quake, is now getting a boost
from the newly emerging monolithic political climate.
But everything else is an exact replay of Taisei Yokusankai. The mainstream media, especially reporters in 官邸記者クラブ (Kantei Kisha Kurabu or press club exclusively and collusively attached to the Prime Minister's
office,) have been doing a good job just like their forerunners did in the early-1940s. Now Yukio Edano, the Cabinet spokesman, owes them a lot for their wholehearted
cooperation with his 大本営発表 (Daihon-ei Happyo or press releases by the Imperial Army Headquarters.)
You may ask: "Is Kan alone in leveraging the disaster?" Good
question. Actually there are many others who are taking advantage of the
This climate is really reminiscent of the wartime slogan "一億火の玉となって"
(Ichioku Hinotama to Natte, or One Hundred Million Hearts Beat as One.) On TV we watch an endless stream of supposedly touching stories about selfless deeds. But in reality, other types of crimes than those by policymakers are now rampant across the nation, especially in the afflicted areas. Among
other things, looting and charity-swindling are widespread more than ever
although the media have hushed them all up.
Is there anyone else who is cashing in on the catastrophe? You bet there
is: the United States of America. If Obama and his people weren't terminally ill as the Japanese are, they would have thought it's about time to pull the plug on Japan, the nation
now proving unviable for the fourth time in its modern history. In fact,
though, the U.S. is now sending in 450 military and non-military
with two "barges," SH-60 Sea Hawk helicopters aboard USS Ronald Reagan and a "military robot" of the type used for bomb disposal in Iraq and Afghanistan.
This robot developed by a defense contractor named QinetiQ North America surprised me because until now I thought Japan is a leader in robotics. Now I have learned Japanese robots are only good at playing the violin as the one developed by Toyota or playing the role of a pet as the one manufactured by Nintendo. This is yet another confirmation that Japan's technological supremacy is nothing but a myth.
Other countries such as Israel, France, Germany and China are also lending a helping hand, but in a more modest way. Though off the subject, it was interesting to know the initial reaction of Edano, the licensed shyster, to foreign medical teams. He reportedly insisted that they should be prohibited from treating patients on the grounds that they are not licensed for medical practice here.
Japanese people who were at a loss over what to do are now exulting at the sight of foreign rescue teams arriving one after another. Especially the one from the U.S. have really heartened them. But with my longtime experience with American people, I would call their massive relief operation "fishing in troubled waters." There's no other way to explain it.
As I have already written on this website, U.S. Defense Secretary Robert
Gates, on February 16 in Okinawa, said: "My hope is that we will get
resolution, particularly on the configuration of the airfield or the runways
perhaps later this spring. And that would then allow us to go forward with
our planning [to realign military forces in the region based on the agreement
reached in 2006.]" The coded directive to Kan can be deciphered like
this: "We can no longer tolerate your inaction and irresoluteness beyond the end of April."
Given the unexpected seismic activity, Gates's order may have to be changed,
but only slightly. I am sure that the U.S. will go ahead with its plan
against the will of the Okinawans before the dust settles in Miyagi, the
prefecture hardest-hit by the natural calamity, and in Fukushima, the prefecture
hardest-hit by the manmade disaster. Until then, the Japanese won't give
a damn to what happens in Okinawa Prefecture.
This reminds me of one of my friends with quotation marks. (These days I
have many foreign friends who I've had to refer to with quotation marks for an obvious reason.) His
name is Benjamin Fulford. I know self-styled conservatives in America have
developed allergy to "truth-seekers" like Fulford. Some of them
have even hysterically warned me that my association with such a nutter
will tarnish my credibility, but I don't care.
Quite expectedly, the Canadian conspiracy theorist based in Tokyo now theorizes
that the devastating quake was caused by HAARP (High Frequency Active Auroral
Research Program) based in Nevada or New Mexico, just like the Niigata
Earthquake of 2007 which also caused a serious damage to the nuclear power
plant located near the epicenter. I don't know if his theory is fully substantiated.
Neither do I want to know. But I wouldn't be surprised if Fulford proved to be right, because it isn't hard to see the fingerprint of the CIA there.
Whether or not there was a conspiracy, I am only concerned about what's coming next
from the recidivists in Washington, rather than rogues stationed in Nevada or New Mexico. · read more (144 words)
Sunday, March 27 2011 @ 03:31 AM EDT
Contributed by: Y.Yamamoto
At the beginning of the year, a stupid Harvard professor named Joseph Nye told the Yomiuri Shimbun daily that he was sure that the Japanese people
will overcome the current economic doldrums and political imbroglio. He assured the Yomiuri editor that with their proven track record of innovativeness, resilience and diligence, the Japanese people will reinvent their nation as they did twice in the past. I found his flattery not only sickening but also insulting.
In a matter of two-plus months, the M-9.0 quake and 33-foot seismic tidal
waves hit the country as if to test Nye's intellect. Indications thus far
is that the professor is flunking.
But just in case, let's take a look at how some salient political figures are trying to lead the country out of the ongoing crisis. If you find them way too incompetent to do their job, then the rest of the Japanese are unviable too, because after all, they have chosen these guys to represent them. In other words, the nation is done for - totally and for good.
Yukio Edano, Chief Cabinet Secretary
The nuclear power plant located in Fukushima Prefecture, 124 miles north- east of Tokyo, is possibly turning into another Chernobyl now.
Prime Minister Naoto Kan has assigned his right-hand man to head his makeshift
crisis management team. Edano is a wrong choice primarily because he is a licensed shyster. Not that, though, equally incompetent Prime Minister could have handpicked any other person who is qualified for the task from among his cronies.
You can never expect anyone with legal background to go extralegal whereas
there is no such thing as an emergency measure that can be implemented within
the existing legal framework. Worse, he knows absolutely nothing about the basics
of risk management, such as:
■ strictly avoid wishful thinking,
■ always be prepared for the worst case scenario,
■ never distort facts or cover up what went wrong,
■ act a little faster than a snail,
■ be professional,
■ be systematic.
With the help extended by 官邸記者クラブ (Kantei Kisha Kurabu, or press club collusively attached to the Prime Minister's office), he
has intended to manipulate people's hearts and minds, exactly in the same
way 大本営 (Daihon-ei or Imperial Army Headquarters) did in the mid-1940s. For one thing, Edano
and his friends in Kisha Kurabu have completely hushed up over the worst case scenario in which the trouble-stricken
nuclear power plant in Fukushima Prefecture is buried in a "sarcophagus"
made of sand and concrete as the entire facility of Chernobyl was 25 years ago.
this connection, they have also buttoned their lips over the fate of the
50 employees of Tokyo Electric Power Company who are still staying in the premises, according to the information reimported from Western media.
Because of his complete ignorance about the methodologies of professional crisis management, he had let things drift, while keep saying, "Don't panic because there's no immediate threat at this moment." In the meantime, TEPCO engineers indulged in fabricating data about radioactive contamination.
No wonder the natural calamity has quickly turned into a manmade catastrophe which is way beyond control. Now the "Chernobyl solution" seems to be the most likely scenario as many foreign experts have suggested.
Yet, very few Japanese are aware of the severity of the situation in part because they have learned too much about irrelevant things such as the lengths of half-life of cesium or iodine from self-proclaimed experts in nuclear engineering and atomic physics. These guys have never uttered the word "bury" because they have too much vested interests in the nuclear industry.
It is true that even in the U.S., there are some who dare to say the situation in Fukushima is even more benign than that of Three Mile Island. William Tucker, for one, says, "The containment structures appear to be working [in Fukushima]." But has he visited the site himself? Obviously, he is one of those guys who have sold their souls to the nuclear industry.
As I always argue, the single most important issue when talking about technologies is the human element entailed in them. Given Edano's utter ignorance of the basics of crisis management, the March 11 natural calamity has quickly turned into a manmade catastrophe which is far beyond
Renho was a bikini model
In the wake of the acute power shortage, the Taiwan-born member of Kan's Cabinet came up
with an absurd countermeasure called 計画停電 (Keikaku Teiden or cuts in power supply scheduled in rotation among arbitrarily determined 5 blocks within TEPCO's service area.)
Previously she was spearheading the program called 事業仕分け (Jigyo Shiwake or budget cutback exercise as the Minister in Charge of Administrative Reforms.
Already at that time, the former model for cheesecake magazines thought she could squeeze trillions of yen out of her targets, mostly quasi-governmental organizations. She had been misled by Kan and Edano to believe that would be a piece of cake because all she would have to do is to shriek. And shrieking is her only forte. But of course, the single most important thing she should have to do was to prioritize things. And to prioritize, she should have had a clear vision of how things are organized at present and how they should be reorganized in the future.
As you have already known, she failed to bring about the expected result. Needless to say, it didn't cross her mind to strip the Imperial Family and its servants of US$213 million appropriated to them every year despite her initial pledge for a reform leaving no sacred cow.
Renho didn't staggered at all because the idiot thought Jigyo Shiwake was a success. Now she went on to implement a rationing system for power supply.
Once again, the single most important thing she doesn't have the slightest idea about
is how people are interconnected among each other in an industrialized
country such as Japan. For one thing she doesn't have the foggiest idea about what we businesspeople call "supply chain management system." She hasn't even heard the words often abbreviated as SCM.
I think you know
what SCM is all about, but just in case, I will briefly explain it here.
A simplified illustration of Supply Chain workflow
Your company is headquartered in Tokyo. The main application servers are installed in the
headquarters building. Stationed in Osaka Branch, you get an inquiry for
a product from a customer in Kyoto. He wants to know how soon it is delivered
to his place. (We call it an event.)Then you make your inquiry at your PC or on a mobile
device to find out the availability of the product for an immediate delivery.
The database on the server is always brought up-to-the-minute as to the
stock information at the several distribution centers. Unfortunately, you
learn that none is available for an immediate shipment. Now you have to
know how soon your Fukushima Plant can manufacture the product, again from the database on the server. Then someone in the Production Planning Department has to ask
his friend working at the Parts Storage Department for the availability
of necessary parts. And finally, if some parts and components are found not in stock,
he has to place orders with subcontractors located in Chiba and Miyagi
Prefectures - and so on.
It should be noted that all these event-driven exchanges of
information have to be done in a matter of minutes through the Internet
and the "Intranet."
With her empty head, Renho thought her Keikaku Teiden program will somehow work out. But actually it will never. The broad might
as well have thought about implementing total blackouts for the entire
service area of TEPCO at a time.
At any rate, one thing is for sure: the Japanese industries which were
allegedly in the recuperation stage before March 11 will screech to a halt
once again. This is what the Kan administration is empowering the bikini model to do.
Postscript 1: Mitsumaru Kumagai, the Chief Economist at Daiwa Institute of Research, estimates the effect of the cuts in power supply on the Japanese economy at 15 trillion yen, or $185 billion, per year which translates into 2.8% of GDP. This means nothing because Kumagai has based his estimate on an absurd assumption that the supply cuts by rotation is the only possible way to counter the situation. Postscript 2: One of my sons, who is a little more electricity-literate, told me that he doubts scheduled blackouts for the entire service area of TEPCO, at a time rather than by rotation, would help minimize the loss of industrial outputs because electricity is not practically retrievable like gas or water. Yet, he agrees there must be a much smarter way to optimize the use of available resources. More importantly, it's Renho's responsibility and TEPCO's - not ours - to try hard to come up with a workable solution. The former bikini model, however, just keeps saying, "You guys should just tolerate. It's an emergency." They might tolerate on certain conditions: 1) she should give them specific plans to bring the power supply back to normalcy, and 2) she should tell the Imperial Family that they are no longer exempt.
Shintaro Ishihara, Tokyo Governor
With his face frowning, Shintaro Ishihara could barely empty the glass to secure another term for the cushy position
Another case in point is Tokyo Governor Ishihara who is now seeking his third term as if the annual
income of 50 million yen for 8 years and "retirement" allowances
of 500 million yen he has received twice were not enough. Amazingly enough,
the bum is still one of the most popular political figures in Japan, especially
in the capital.
On March 24, it was learned that water in the metropolitan reservoirs was
contaminated with radioactive materials from the Fukushima power plant.
Although he has been critical about the DPJ government, Ishihara thought
he had to assure extremely gullible Tokyoite that they are still OK despite the alarming revelation.
Yesterday, he dared to drink a glass of water before the press corps, saying,
"Tokyo no mizu wa anzen dakara kodomo ni nomasete mo daijoubu dayo - imanotokoro
wa ne (Water in Tokyo is not so contaminated. You can let your children drink
it - for the time being, that is.)"
Then, it somehow occurred to the brainless governor that he had to translate his message into English to make his water-drinking show more convincing. (This is a typical way of thinking here in this "docile satellite" of the American Empire.) He is an alumnus of the privileged Hitotsubashi University who always brags about having many influential friends in Washington. But unfortunately for him, he was unable to express his idea in a simple English sentence. So he tried to translate the last phrase of his message which was identical to Edano's favorite qualifier. (The Cabinet spokesman uses it a dozen times everyday.)
Ishihara said: "To put my words in English, we are basically OK 'so
far as being time.'" Nobody present there blushed at Ishihara's English
lecture. Small wonder the Japanese people have always respected him as
an exceptionally highbrow person.
I hope you can imagine what it is like to get pushed around all the time by these idiots, at the expense of we taxpayers.
Thanks to the natural calamity aggravated by a manmade disaster, a political truce has been implemented here. Now this country is
a real monolith where there is no place for a small number of sane people who have long been forgotten. We used
to call this climate 大政翼賛会的風土 (Taisei Yokusankai teki Fudo) which has already proved the surest way to ruin.
Under the circumstances, we are now fed around the clock with an endless stream of supposedly touching stories about people coming together with the spirit of mutual aid. According to the March 25 edition of Tribune de Geneva, even yakuza criminals sent a fleet of trucks to the afflicted areas to provide food and other daily necessities to the survivors of the disaster, while some of the 100,000 soldiers from the Self-Defense Forces were just looking on.
In reality, though, quite a few swindlers are actively collecting monetary "donations" while supermarkets are running out of food, beverages, and other essential merchandises because of the panic buying.
The same thing is happening to Japan's international relations. With all the diplomatic
rifts shelved, temporarily or not, millions of good folks around the world
are extending a helping hand to the Japanese. Jacky Cheung and Vladimir
Putin are not alone.
But hold on a second. Do you still think that Kan, Edano, Renho, Ishihara,
et al. were not as incompetent before March 11? Actually, our suffering
had started decades before the quake and tsunami came along, with tens
of thousands of Japanese killing each other and selves every year. If you
look at the following figures, you will understand the ongoing disaster is
not a big deal. It just revealed something that had already been there.
Identified as Dead as of March 27
Identified as Missing as of March 27
Total Fatality Toll from the Quake and Tsunami as of March 27
See NOTE 1
Homicides in 2010
See NOTE 2
Traffic Fatality in 2010
Suicides in 2010
Total Death Toll from Homicides, Traffic Accidents and Suicides in 2010
NOTE 1: The final death toll can top 30,000 because sometimes nobody could
have filed a missing-person report with the authority when an entire family
was swallowed by the tsunami.
NOTE 2: Roughly 1 million people die every year, but because of the lack
of a coroner system here, 15% of the corpses are buried without going through
an autopsy. On an educated guess basis, most of them are victims of murder.
That would mean the number of homicide cases here is a gross understatement.
My estimate is that there are at least several thousand victims of homicide. · read more (66 words)
Tuesday, March 15 2011 @ 07:16 AM EDT
Contributed by: Y.Yamamoto
Now Cabinet spokesman Yukio Edano is a household name. But the former shyster is a crisis management novice who only can say, "Calm down, we are basically OK." No wonder the natural calamity turned into a man-made catastrophe in a matter of 48 hours. Now he has reduced himself to a Shinto priest who conducts press conferences as if they are a series of rituals.
Most educated Westerners think they are familiar with the etymology of
the Japanese word 神風, kamikaze or divine wind. But actually they aren't; they have never looked
at the other side of the half-factual, half-fictitious events that supposedly
took place in 1274 and 1281. Each time Mongol invaders attempted to land
in Kyushu island of Japan, a ferocious typhoon blew their fleet against the rocks.
Ever since kamikaze has been considered a savior by Shoguns and Emperors.
But of course, that does not mean their subjects have always viewed it in the same way. As is true with any other country, perhaps to a lesser degree, Japan is a nation where a handful of people have always prospered at the cost of all others.
In the last days of the Pacific War, kamikaze failed to deal a blow to the warships
or bombers of the Allied Powers. So the Imperial Army headquarters had to resort to the idea of substituting young men for typhoons. That's how thousands of kamikaze pilots lost their lives for the absurd cause of protecting Emperor Hirohito from ruin which none other than the bastard had invited himself. Your history teacher have taught you that the ingenious tactic ended up in failure when the A-bombs were detonated over the cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. But once again, you surface-scratching Westerners have overlooked the other side of the coin.
On March 15, the son of the super- Class-A war criminal made a rare TV appearance in an attempt to help Edano bring calm to his subjects. Many appreciated it because the bastard has been known for his absenteeism from the anniversaries of the apocalypses of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
Thanks in part to
MacArthur's generosity, but more importantly to the blind loyalty of the Japanese who wanted to save the demigod at the cost of their lives, it was a piece of cake for Hirohito to survive the war defeat and subsequently duck the responsibility to have started the unwinnable war. Sixty-five
years later his son is still enjoying an easy life at his extensive estate located in central
Tokyo without being affected by 計画停電 (keikaku teiden or scheduled cuts in power supply.)
Then came the M-9.0 quake late last week which was followed by a series of 33-foot seismic tidal waves. Who was it intended to save this time around?
Without a doubt, it's Prime Minister Naoto Kan who benefited most from the deadly windfall. The initial
jolt of the March 11 earthquake rocked the Diet Building just when he
was being grilled by the opposition lawmakers over the illegal donations
he had received from a Korean resident in Japan. Actually, the particular irregularity
that had just surfaced was not making a big difference to the suffering already inflicted on the people because by then Kan had proved much too incompetent to turn around the serious situation facing them. His approval rating had already sunk
Despite all this adversity, Kan was still poised to stay in power as of March 11 primarily because the opposition camp led by the Liberal Democratic Party had thought it's not the right time to oust him. The LDP wanted him to carry through with the unpopular plan to relocate the U.S. Marine Corps' "helicopter" unit from Futenma to Henoko against the will of the Okinawans. As I pointed out in my previous post, Robert Gates hinted on February 16, Washington, too, was expecting Kan to do this dirty job while he is in office. Match-fixing is not confined to Sumo wrestling in this rotten nation.
Even so, the Prime Minister had been on the verge of nervous
breakdown when the quake of an unprecedented magnitude hit his nation.
No wonder that Kan thought the divine wind had started to blow to save
him from the cul-de-sac he was in. He took a French leave from the Diet floor to
hurriedly set up a crisis control center.
Needless to say, his team had to be staffed so poorly that the only thing it has done
so far is to exacerbate the situation.
Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano, now concurrently serving as the spokesman of the crisis management team, is a former shyster. In junior high, he must have learned that 1 milli-Sievert equals 1,000 micro-Sieverts. Also he knows Hydrogen explodes when it is mixed with Oxygen under a certain condition. But it is evident that he knows absolutely nothing about the basics of risk management.
If I were Kan, I would never have dreamed of picking Edano as the virtual head of the team, because you can never expect anyone with legal background to go extralegal. And there is no such thing as an effective emergency plan that is laid out within the existing legal framework.
To make it worse, the unqualified head of a crisis management team as he is, Edano allows his men to ignore the basic rules such as:
■ Strictly avoid wishful thinking,
■ Always be prepared for the worst case scenario,
■ Never distort facts or cover up what went wrong,
■ Act a little faster than a snail,
■ Be professional,
■ Be systematic,
Traditionally, a Japanese who is put in charge of crisis management tends to think his primary responsibility is to calm down people who are extremely prone to panic. To prevent them from panicking, he always tries to immunize them for an inevitable eventuality by feeding critical information only little by little. He admits to the whole truth only when
it is too late.
That is exactly what Edano is doing right now. Yesterday he assured Japanese people that they were basically OK for the time being and today he says they still remain OK for the time being, though to a lesser degree, and so on.
Obviously, the fact that Edano uses this qualifier "for the time being" (差し当たって or sashiatatte) so frequently indicates that he has learned the wrong idea from Confucianism. Some 2,500 years ago, the Chinese philosopher said to this effect: "Make the people rely on you, and to that end, never let them know what underlies your decision."
While Edano kept telling people not to be swayed by groundless rumors about the series of explosions at the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant located 124 miles away from the capital, the natural disaster quickly turned into a man-made crisis.
Aside from the lessons to be learned from the consequences of his mishandling of the situation, this is also yet another confirmation that the human element is the single most important factor when addressing nuclear, seismological, meteorological, or medical issues. In other words, Japan's technological/scientific superiority is nothing but a myth.
In the last couple of days I have discussed the matter with Mr. Gordon G. Chang.
He asked me if I thought the relief for Kan is only temporary. To my regret, I had to answer in the negative.
It is true that as things have worsened, a growing number of political analysts and laypeople, who are not affiliated with the mainstream media, have been calling for a "national
salvation government" to immediately replace the Kan administration. They say nobody can expect the leader who has proved totally incompetent even under the normal situation to lead the way out of the unprecedented emergency. But as a matter of fact there are very few candidates for the next Prime Minister and Chief Cabinet Secretary who would outdo Kan and Edano. More importantly, the people here are so used to seeing their leaders become paralyzed, like a spider in thanatosis, in the face of a crisis, that they do not think it would make any difference whoever is at the helm.
During the wartime NHK served as the mouthpiece of the Imperial Army
The way Edano conducts those press conferences is more than just reminiscent of
大本営発表 (Daihon-ei Happyo or press releases by the headquarters of Japan's Imperial Army broadcast
by NHK.) Good news was always exaggerated while bad news was always hushed up until the very last day of the Pacific War.
I remember listening to the NHK announcer in the last week of
the Pacific War. He was saying something like this:
"Calm down and never be swayed by groundless rumors about the new
weapon our enemy used in Hiroshima. As long as you remain fully determined
to use your 大和魂 (yamato damashii or dauntless Japanese spirit) to exterminate our enemy, we will still be OK. Thus, our Divine Empire is invincible."
NHK was telling the truth, as it does today; in August 1945, the Japanese people found out that the imperial family was really imperishable.
· read more (362 words)
Wednesday, March 09 2011 @ 03:02 AM EST
Contributed by: Y.Yamamoto
Several years ago Kan took a secular pilgrimage to get purified of his political sin - apparently to no avail
Of course not, because what I foresaw here happened on February 15 in an anticlimactic way
when head of Democratic Party of Japan Naoto Kan decided, after months
of hesitation, to suspend Ichiro Ozawa's party membership. Kan had been fully prepared for a devastating counterattack, but his go-for-broke decision instantly triggered
an avalanche within his party. Just for one thing, 16 Diet members declared
independence from the party leadership although these rebels stopped short of leaving
the DPJ because Ozawa still intends to subvert it from within.
Then came Seiji Maehara's resignation as Foreign Minister late last
week when illegal donations he had received from a South Korean resident
in Japan somehow surfaced. The fact that Hillary Clinton's pet decided to step down so quickly is an unmistakable evidence that the small amount of money from the owner of a Korean barbecue restaurant in Kyoto was just the tip of the iceberg. He is a small-time thief when compared
to Ozawa, but as every big thief readily admits to the smallest part of
his crime to save the rest of his loot, Maehara said when announcing
his resignation that he would return the money in question to the Korean
woman. Without a doubt, he must have received millions of dollars from organizations
affiliated with yakuza syndicates that often front the CIA.
At any rate all this dealt a fatal blow to Kan whose approval rating had
already plummeted to 18%. So it's a miracle that he still stands on his
feet. Actually it's a foot that is still supported by the major opposition
Liberal Democratic Party which is, for obvious reasons (see Note below,) not enthusiastic
about toppling the administration by a gentle touch with a fingertip.
NOTE: The most important among other reasons is the Futenma relocation plan. The LDP knows it wouldn't be able to implement the plan, either, if it could get back in power tomorrow. Match-fixing is not confined to sumo in this rotten nation.
Another crutch is being offered by the CIA.
On February 16 in Okinawa, Robert Gates said: "My hope is that we will get resolution, particularly on the configuration of the airfield or the runways perhaps later this spring. And that would then allow us to go forward with our planning [to realign military forces in the region based on the agreement reached in 2006.]"
When in business I was working on risk management for many years. Especially
through my first-hand experience with credit checking of prospective business
partners, I learned a lot about corporate behaviors. In general, recidivism rate is in the neighborhood of 50%, but it is much higher when it comes to special types of crime such as drug abuse or rape. But now
as a blogger who has delved into the history of modern Japan since retirement, I have a conviction that it's even harder to prevent a CIA type of crime from being recidivated. It's almost an unbreakable addiction.
Gates is currently in a position to kiss the dirty ass of Obama as Defense
Secretary, but he was a Director of the CIA from 1991 through 1993. If
you look at his Feb. 16 statement with this in mind, you can decipher his
coded directive meant for Kan's government. If I should fully spell out my interpretation of Gates's remark, here it is:
Kishi vowed, as an undercover agent of the CIA, Japan would remain America's loyal partner until its demise Koizumi was frolicking before George W. Bush, singing Rub Me Tenda at Graceland
"As the Japanese Prime Minister, you should bulldoze our plan to relocate
the U.S. Marine Corps' Air Station from Futenma to Henoko no later than
April so we can replace the conventional gunships with Ospreys no matter
how the Okinawans protest against the deployment of the widow-making machines. It must be a piece of cake to neutralize the Okinawa governor because he is an unprincipled opportunist. As for Ozawa, you have done a good job, but you have yet to put the final nail in his coffin. In November Hu Jintao invited him to a Yokohama hotel where he was staying during the APEC summit 2010 to have a clandestine meeting. We won't tolerate it if this happens once again. In order to carry through with our plan at any cost, you may also have to sack some more
people even within your own camp. For example, our Secretary of State is in
love with that punk named Maehara, but don't hesitate to kick him out if it is really necessary
for our cause. To make your life easier, my old buddies in the CIA will take care of the Japanese
media and public prosecutors capitalizing on our cozy relationship with
"Eventually, you will have to step down prematurely but that's only after you
accomplished something that really gladdens Obama. Remember none of your
predecessors who did what our presidents wanted them to do were labeled traitors afterward.
"In 1955, American taxpayers had the CIA fund the launch of your alma mater Liberal Democratic Party through Yoshio Kodama who had reigned over Japanese underworld since wartime. To reciprocate our generosity, Nobusuke Kishi, Kodama's cell mate as Class-A war criminal, signed the revision of the security treaty in 1960, weeks before he was forced to step down. But his exit was not too disgraceful.
In 2005 Junichiro Koizumi bulldozed the postal privatization bill in compliance
with Bush's demand based on the U.S.-Japan Regulatory Reform and Competition
Policy Initiative and he has even been remembered as a reformer since he fled
political world to avoid his responsibility for the disastrous consequence of the privatization. I hope that at least your name, too, will be on our list of patriots."
Given my theory about recidivism, which is nothing more than a commonsense matter, there is no other way to decode Gates's statement.
When the symbolic double-suicide took place, I was fully tied up with other things which were much more rewarding than talking to brain-dead Americans who claim to be Japan experts, but it wouldn't have made any difference to their stupidity and arrogance if I had had some time to spare for them. U.S. scholars and pundits are much too shallow to figure out what is really going on in this "docile satellite" of the American Empire.
Since these bastards have, by now, completely lost the thread of the kabuki
play which was all started by the CIA, they will remain
ignorant, forever, about how the recidivists in the CIA are manipulating
the hearts and minds of the Japanese macaques. Now in the face of the increasingly
intricate plot of Act 5 of the kabuki farce, they give an implausible excuse
that goes like this: "After all, we are too preoccupied with other areas
of the globe such as the Mideast to be really concerned about Japan."
But be concerned, because Japan is, in fact, the 51st state of the U.S.
whereas Arab countries such as Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Bahrain, Jordan and
Saudi Arabia are not the part of America. Self-respecting people in these
countries are now waking up to the reality that unless they stand up against
the dying Empire right now, they will be taken along to the bottom of hell.
They don't really care whether or not they should seek for a first-ever
homegrown "democracy" in the East.
Stupid ideologues in the U.S. are untiringly disseminating the same old fallacies
about "digital wildfires" and "Twitter revolutions."
But these are NOT what's going on in the Middle East, let alone in the
People's Republic of China. People outside of the U.S. are simply fed up
with America. To them even al-Qaeda is better than America.
As a 75-year-old Asian citizen I also think I have had more than enough from the Americans.
Up until weeks ago, I had a longtime American friend of Egyptian origin.
When I wrote on this website that Obama should not meddle in the Egyptian
Revolution because it's none of America's business whether or not the Muslim
Brotherhood will win the internationally-"monitored" (i.e. tampered) elections, I carelessly mentioned her name because she is the only ethnic Egyptian I know in person.
The woman uncharacteristically exploded. She wrote: "I think
Obama is one of the greatest presidents of the United States. History will
prove it. The U.S. did not really meddle in the revolution except it may
have pressured Mubarak to leave sooner than he was going to. (snip) I don't
want to be part of your anti-Obama campaign." So I deleted my post. · read more (140 words)
Saturday, February 05 2011 @ 09:24 PM EST
Contributed by: Y.Yamamoto
A famous scene from the 18th century Kabuki classic, The Love Suicides at Amijima (心中天網島)
In June last year, then-Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama committed double
suicide with his party's Secretary-General Ichiro Ozawa. It was a symbolic one, but in this morbid culture of inaction, a symbolic act sometimes has more real implication than does the real action it's supposed to be substituted for.
At that time self-styled
Japan experts in the U.S. thought that Naoto Kan, the incoming Prime Minister, would be able to pull this nation out of the economic doldrums
and political imbroglio.
Presumably these highly-educated American scholars and pundits had seen too many Hollywood films backstage to comprehend the intricacy and subtlety involved in Japanese dramas. That is why they invariably failed to understand that the double resignation was just part of the traditional misogi ritual.
Now the Japanese are going to see another double suicide in a matter of
months, or even weeks.
Last month at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Kan announced that Japan will decide by June on whether it will join talks
for Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) on free trade. He had to blow his horn because he was so desperate to stop Obama from pulling
the plug on his already precarious government. Even though Kan is an extremely dull-witted person, it's now dawning on him that without
the support from Washington, his administration wouldn't last a single day.
It's small wonder that right after Kan's muddled pledge in Davos, Obama announced he would postpone the talks with Kan previously scheduled for
early May. Obviously the U.S. President wanted to wait until after June to see if his Japanese
subordinate would uncharacteristically keep his word.
Unlike an FTA or EPA which is basically a bilateral and reciprocal arrangement, TPP is a multilateral trade framework
dominated by the U.S. Once you get involved in it, you will be forced to
do whatever Washington tells you to do, be it the reduction of import duties, or the removal of non-tariff barriers, in 24 sectors and sub-sectors of your economy. That is why sound
countries in this region, such as Canada and South Korea, have decided
not to participate. That has left nine economies, most of them small developing countries such as Vietnam and Brunei.
As usual the Japanese media extended a helping hand to the drowning Kan by oversimplifying
the TPP issue. They say it's just a matter of tradeoff between benefits some non-agricultural sectors can expect from the TPP membership and prohibitive costs to be incurred to the agricultural
sector. All they want to say is that the issue is worth serious discussion anyway. But the fact of the matter remains that it's simply suicidal to sign up for it because the U.S. is a doomed country now.
Given the fact that both countries are in the same sinking boat now, you may think the Japanese Prime Minister will pick Obama as the partner of double suicide. But I think that is unlikely.
In that respect, I previously quoted Doyle McManus of Los Angeles Times. In his January
23 op-ed titled Did Tweeting Topple Tunisia?, McManus argued that "'digital wildfire' spreading across the repressive wasteland of the Arab world" is an illusion. He went on to say: "[Social media can sometimes be an accelerant for incipient
revolutionary movements.] In the end, though, the most important steps
in promoting democracy and securing human rights will continue to be low
By stark contrast with "low-tech" citizens in Tunis or Cairo, the American people have gone too hi-tech - relative to the quality of life they seek leveraging these web-based technologies.
It is said that in the U.S., more than 65 million tweets are posted every day on the Twittering website. And as you know, these brainless and spineless birdies are chirping, day in, day out, about the faded American Fairy Tale. In short, they are too chicken-hearted and self-complacent to kill their leader, either politically or physically.
As a result, the bastard in the White House can rest assured that nobody will force him out until the next time his country goes through the absurd ritual called Presidential Elections.
It is true that the Japanese are even more inert. And yet, it looks as though Kan is digging his own grave now. That's why I don't think he will last long enough to take along Obama on his journey to hell.
This leaves the Prime Minister only with one eligible candidate for his suicide partner. · read more (164 words)